2022 Field Of 64 Projections: May 29 • D1Baseball

Postseason
D1 Baseball Staff – May 29, 2022

• CONFERENCE TOURNEY CENTRAL
• Mark Etheridge’s Conference Tourney Diary
• LATEST RPI
• AUTO BID TRACKER
• Coaching Hire Wire

Here are the most recent projections after Saturday’s motion, assembled by our Kendall Rogers, Aaron Fitt and Mark Etheridge.

AUTOMATIC BIDS

The following computerized bids have been secured in Saturday’s convention title video games:

America East: Binghamton (no change from Saturday morning’s projection)
Atlantic 10: VCU (no change from yesterday’s projection)
ASUN: Kennesaw State (replaces Liberty from yesterday’s projection after beating Flames within the remaining)
Big South: Campbell (no change)
Horizon: Wright State (no change)
Mountain West: Air Force (no change)
Ohio Valley: Southeast Missouri State (replaces Belmont after beating Bruins within the remaining)
Southland: Southeastern Louisiana (replaces McNeese after beating Cowboys within the remaining)
WCC: San Diego (replaces Gonzaga after beating Zags within the remaining)

Today’s subject of 64 options the next modifications to our projected computerized qualifiers since yesterday, with these convention event champions but to be topped:

CAA: Hofstra replaces College of Charleston (Pride will face Northeastern on Sunday for the title, however Huskies should win twice to assert the bid)

Big Ten: Rutgers replaces Maryland (Terps nonetheless in as an at-large however have been knocked out of the event Saturday. Rutgers will face the Iowa/Michigan winner within the finals. Should the Scarlet Knights lose, they need to seize an at-large bid, making the Big Ten a three-bid league)

Conference USA: Louisiana Tech replaces Southern Miss (Golden Eagles nonetheless in as an at-large. La Tech faces UTSA for the title Sunday)

Missouri Valley: Missouri State replaces Evansville (Aces have been eradicated Saturday; Bears face Southern Illinois for the title Sunday, however Salukis must win twice)

Sun Belt: Georgia Southern replaces Texas State (Bobcats have been eradicated Saturday; Eagles face Louisiana for the title Sunday, and if Cajuns win this turns into a four-bid league, with Texas State, Georgia Southern and Coastal getting at-large spots)

AT-LARGE PICTURE

• STOLEN BIDS: The bubble shrank by two extra spots Saturday when Kennesaw State and San Diego received computerized bids, forcing Liberty and Gonzaga from the automated qualifier pool into the at-large pool. Both Kennesaw and USD have been professional at-large contenders anyway, however each probably would have wound up simply outdoors the sphere of 64 in the event that they hadn’t secured auto bids. Gonzaga is an ironclad lock for an at-large spot, in fact, and Liberty needs to be simply tremendous with a No. 33 RPI and a powerful displaying in each the common season standings and convention event.

Another at-large spot may disappear if Rutgers fails to win the Big Ten event Sunday, as a result of the Scarlet Knights are a powerful guess for an at-large spot. And as famous above, Louisiana may additionally cut back the at-large pool by beating Georgia Southern within the Sun Belt.

• C-USA contenders Louisiana Tech and UTSA each climbed our ladder Saturday, because the Roadrunners eradicated top-seeded Southern Miss and the Bulldogs despatched Old Dominion packing. Louisiana Tech now seems protected, and UTSA strikes up from group No. 63 to No. 61, passing Liberty (which has a really sturdy case however continues to be group No. 62, which reveals how tight the bubble is that this 12 months).

• Dallas Baptist tumbles down our ladder after getting knocked out of the MVC tourney with a 1-2 mark. DBU has a number of issues going for it: a No. 22 RPI rating, a 13-9 mark in opposition to the highest 50 within the RPI, which is bolstered by its sturdy nonconference resumé. That features a sweep of Southern Miss, a highway sequence win at San Diego and a house sequence win in opposition to Maryland — all three of whom might be in regionals, and two of whom will host. But a number of issues undermine these strengths: an unimpressive 12-11-1 combination mark within the Valley (not precisely a premier convention), and the truth that the Patriots misplaced extra convention sequence (4) than they received (three). Will the nonconference physique of labor outweigh the lackluster convention physique of labor? Probably … but when the bubble shrinks some extra, it may get dicey.

• Old Dominion went 1-1 in opposition to Louisiana Tech to complete with a 22-13 combination C-USA mark, a 41-17 total document and a No. 42 RPI. In most years, that’s a fairly stable at-large resumé, however with this tight bubble the Monarchs discover themselves proper on the sting, and if the bubble shrinks extra on Sunday they could possibly be in bother. For now, they’re our final group in.

• West Virginia and Grand Canyon each get squeezed out with RPIs of No. 50 and No. 51, respectively. WVU went 14-10 within the common season in an influence convention, however actually harm its trigger with an 0-2 displaying within the Big 12. Couple that with an RPI drawback and it’s not wanting nice for the Mountaineers. Grand Canyon received its regular-season title, however its WAC event exit in opposition to Abilene Christian shy of the convention title recreation leaves it in a precarious spot. The Lopes did go 7-5 in opposition to the highest 50, however historical past suggests a WAC group outdoors the highest 50 isn’t prone to seize an at-large spot.

AT-LARGE LADDER

Here are the final 4 groups within the subject, together with the primary 4 groups out of the most recent projection.

LAST FOUR IN:

61. UTSA

62. Liberty

63. Dallas Baptist

64. Old Dominion
—
FIRST FOUR OUT:

65. Grand Canyon

66. West Virginia

67. Alabama

68. Ole Miss

NATIONAL SEED/HOST PICTURE

• Southern Miss and Notre Dame each dropping Saturday opened the door for Miami to slip again right into a prime eight seed. The Golden Eagles slipped all of the day all the way down to No. 19 within the RPI, which simply appears too low for a top-eight seed from a non-power-four convention, regardless of USM’s regular-season title in C-USA. So Miami and Notre Dame get our remaining two spots within the prime eight, with the Hurricanes again forward of the Irish within the pecking order because of a greater combination convention document (20-12 vs. 18-12) and the head-to-head benefit (Miami took two of three from the Irish simply final weekend). For now, the Irish dangle onto their top-eight spot, however Texas may bump them out of the highest eight if it will possibly win the Big 12 event on Sunday.

• Two modifications from yesterday in our internet hosting pool: Oklahoma State and Florida change TCU and LSU as hosts. OSU beat Texas on Saturday however then misplaced to the Longhorns in a rematch, however the pair of video games helped the Cowboys within the RPI; they’re now up eight spots to No. 10, which needs to be adequate to host when mixed with their Big 12 document. Florida beat Texas A&M to succeed in the SEC title recreation; the Gators are actually 4-1 in Hoover, boosting their combination SEC document to 19-16 and enhancing their RPI to No. 12. Win or lose Sunday in opposition to Tennessee, the Gators are probably in internet hosting place now.

LSU fell to No. 25 within the RPI after getting knocked out of the SEC event by Kentucky on Saturday, and that RPI is probably going too low to host for a group that didn’t win its division, although the Tigers went 18-15 combination within the SEC. TCU is hanging its hopes on its Big 12 regular-season title, however we suspect its No. 36 RPI will in the end be its downfall in terms of internet hosting. Oklahoma State’s 3-2 displaying within the convention tourney allowed it to cross the Horned Frogs within the pecking order, contemplating its 26-spot benefit within the RPI. And Georgia Southern reaching the championship recreation within the Sun Belt event probably secured the Eagles (No. 8 within the RPI) a bunch spot, in all probability dashing TCU’s possibilities to be a 3rd host out of the Big 12. Likewise, North Carolina’s victory in opposition to Notre Dame on Saturday secured the Tar Heels (No. 4 within the RPI) as a bunch, eliminating any probability that the Frogs may host over the Heels. The Big 12 regular-season champion has hosted yearly because the 64-team period started in 1999, however we’re betting that streak ends this 12 months, attributable to TCU’s RPI drawback.