All odds are offered by Caesars Sportsbook.
What it’s essential know for Game 7
Home candy Miami: There have been 145 Game 7s within the NBA playoffs, and residential groups have gained 76.5% of them. The Heat are 7-2 at residence within the postseason, shedding Games 2 and 5 after beginning the postseason 7-0 at residence. Miami is 6-4 all time in Game 7s. Under coach Erik Spoelstra, it is 4-2, together with an ideal 4-0 at residence. Across the earlier six Game 7s Spoelstra has coached, the Heat have a plus-6.0 point-per-game differential.
Jimmy Buckets: Jimmy Butler led the offensive assault for Miami in a resurgent efficiency on Friday that noticed him rating extra factors in Game 6 alone than in Games 3, 4, and 5 mixed (47 vs 27). Butler completed with 47 factors, 9 rebounds, 8 assists and 4 steals, one of many finer efforts whereas dealing with elimination in Heat and NBA historical past. Butler’s 47 factors are probably the most by a Heat participant when dealing with elimination, and coincidentally, the highest three performances in Heat historical past have now all come towards the Celtics.
Been there, achieved that: When it involves Game 7s, the Celtics are skilled. They’ve performed, and gained, extra Game 7s than every other franchise. The Celtics are 25-9 all time in Game 7s, and their .735 win proportion in Game 7s is finest amongst franchises with a minimum of two video games performed. They’re 4-4 in Game 7s performed on the highway.
— ESPN Stats & Information
Breaking down Game 7
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
8:30 p.m ET, FTX Arena, Miami
Line: Celtics (-2.5)
Money line: Celtics (-140), Heat (+120)
Total: 195.5 factors
BPI win%: Heat (51.3%)
Questionable: Marcus Smart (ankle), Tyler Herro (groin), Robert Williams III (knee), Max Strus (hamstring), Gabe Vincent (hamstring)
Ruled out: None
Note: BPI numbers consider gamers who’re dominated out however assume questionable gamers will play.
Notable: The whole of 195.5 is the bottom in any recreation this season (first recreation beneath 200) and the bottom in any playoff recreation since 2018.
Notable: The Heat are simply the third staff to be a house underdog in a Game 7 up to now 30 seasons (excluding the 2020 bubble). The earlier two went 1-1 outright and ATS. – ESPN Stats & Information
Best wager: Celtics -2.5, over 195.5. The Heat stunned the world with an unbelievable efficiency in Game 6 to win again residence courtroom and momentum heading into Game 7 on Sunday night time. I do not count on Jimmy Butler to have one other 47-point efficiency, which was wanted for the Heat to win by eight factors. Let’s marinate in that for a minute. I imagine the Celtics underestimated an injury-riddled Heat staff that was on the highway. Game 6 was a wake-up name, and Boston sometimes follows a loss with a win. Al Horford had an off night time (going 1-for 6-from deep), Smart was 1-for-9 from deep, Jayson Tatum had seven turnovers, Jaylen Brown had 4 turnovers — and I do not count on to see that once more. I’m additionally enjoying the over right here, the place this whole is WAY too low, contemplating the over has hit 4 of the six video games. I respect the protection, however there may be method an excessive amount of firepower on this courtroom. – Anita Marks
Best wager: Brown over 24.5 factors. The Celtics want Brown to step up. In Game 6, he scored 20 factors, however two got here within the second half. I do not count on that to be the case Sunday night time. Brown insisted after Game 6 that the Celtics would get their act collectively in Game 7. He’s averaged 23 PPG within the 2022 playoffs. In Game 7, Brown has a reliable probability to guide the Celtics in scoring. – Eric Moody
Best wager: Over 195.5. I used to be hammering the over to start out the collection as a result of regardless of how glorious each defenses are, these two groups sometimes rating properly on one another. Going into Game 4, that they had scored a minimum of 204 mixed factors in 5 straight video games (going again to the common season), with a mean rating of 216.8 PPG. Then, in Games 4 and 5, the Heat had a number of accidents, which led to them producing two traditionally inept scoring video games and subsequently two unders. But with the Heat wanting wholesome in Game 6, the rating got here again to regular, and the groups mixed for a extra typical 214 factors. While Game 7s are sometimes defensive affairs, if the groups are wholesome, they need to go over 195.5. –– Andre Snellings
Best wager: Tatum over 41.5 whole factors + assists + rebounds. This recreation is late within the collection, which generally signifies that Tatum is about to place an enormous quantity on the board. In the final 4 video games of the Bucks-Celtics collection, Tatum averaged 33.3 PPG, 8.5 RPG and 5.3 APG, going over 41.5 PAR 3 times. In the previous three video games of this collection, Tatum has averaged 27.7 PPG, 9.7 RPG and 6.0 APG, and gone over 41.5 PAR all 3 times. If he is wholesome, I look for Tatum to go huge in Game 7. — Andre Snellings
Best wager: Butler over 40.5 whole factors + assists + rebounds. Butler overs have been among the finest bets within the playoffs to date. The solely exception was when his knee was getting the higher of him from Games 3-5. But, he bounced again in an enormous method in Game 6, and I can not think about we’ll see something lower than super-Butler on this essential Game 7 as he tries to will the Heat again to the Finals. — Andre Snellings
